Göran Rudling's article about something else -- not me or my research
“Scientific research is not like driving a taxi, going wherever
a passenger pays to be taken at his/her caprice or need. Scientific
Epidemiology research is a serious endeavour conducted with academic
integrity and with the scientific method as its only compass. These standards
are serious business. It cannot be accepted that a simple troll, solely on the
basis that he/she possesses a keyboard and has access to Internet, for whatever
personal or political motivations indulges in injurious public campaigns aimed
to defame Swedish professors, through bizarre name-calling or gratuitous smear.” (Assange, The Professors, and The Taxi Driver)
After the publication of “Assange, The Professors, and The Taxi Driver – Scientific Epidemiology meets Göran Rudling” in Professors blogg (23 April 2012), Göran Rudling renamed the slanderous title of his article to “Professor Marcello Ferrada de Noli and honour-related violence” (27 April 2012) and deleted some other slanderous terms or text-sections from his
articles - a development which I
regarded as positive. [1] As he also has done previously per email, Rudling published an apology in the Swedish and English version and regretted the "insulting" ad-hominem he had indulged in.
However, as I could view in detail only now, the blunt misrepresentations of my positions have remained in his texts. And not only that; he has also put forward new slanderous ad-hominem affirmations in the middle of his "public apology"; such as I "actively support the perpetrators of honour-related violence" or the professor "knowingly tried to mislead readers". Rudling's favorite name-calling of "a cheat" to all his detractors still screams hysterically in the bottom lines of his page.
So, this much for Göran Rudling's (summarized) "apology":
What are the "reasons" given by Rudling for these bizarre invectives? He summarizes himself in "Conclusions on professor MFN's studies":
So, this much for Göran Rudling's (summarized) "apology":
"Just because you are a cheater, and knowingly
grossly mislead the readers, and also an active honour-killers' supporter,
does not mean I have the right to insult you. Sorry" !?
What are the "reasons" given by Rudling for these bizarre invectives? He summarizes himself in "Conclusions on professor MFN's studies":
"(The professor) has mislead [sic] readers about the extent of honor-related violence in Sweden since he does not offer any statistical data of the occurrence of honor-related violence.", says Rudling. But, how could I "mislead" on the extent if I am not providing any data about that extent at all, or, in fact, not even have referred to that subject in my investigation? Who said that I have ever intended to measure the "extent" or "occurrence" of "honour-related violence"? Yes, I agree with the reader, Rudling's illogical statement - a tautology of some kind - doesn't make sense at all; it reads like a misquote or a transcript error. Yet it is for real, as seen in the screenshot from his article above. [1]
These are instead the facts:
i) The focus of my study-design was NOT the epidemiology of Swedish "honour-related violence", neither aimed to calculate the prevalence of the variety of behaviours or criminal offenses comprised by "honour-related violence". I have instead ONLY studied the prevalence of "Honour-killings", and according to the given design, referred to the study-period constricted by a base data provided by BRÅ (1990-2004), [2] study-period which also determined the N= observed cases. This, about the aims of my investigation, Rudling knows, or should know this quite well, because I wrote to him earlier, very clearly:
"In the main, I believe we are here referring to different phenomena.
Whereas you ascribe my statistical calculations as if they would refer
to “Honour related violence” (or Muslim honour-violence in Sweden), the
only calculations I have done and published in my posts are limited to
“honour-killings” among the Muslim population in Sweden. I have not
performed any calculation on “honour-violence”, which as you know is a
quite wider statistical entity and comprising not only killings but also
vast violent-behaviour spectra."
Göran Rudling's argument above is a most clear-cut example of Straw man fallacy. [4] Judge for yourself:
From the Youtube video
above: [5]
This is instead the original argument, the one I am referring to only: The prevalence finding on honour-killings. And my finding stands correct: The Observed/Expected Ratio = 0.2 indicated a clear underrepresentation of the Muslim cases among Family-related violence with women resulting in FATAL outcome in Sweden during the period 1990-2004. Chi squared distribution: Chi squared equals 10.095 with 1 degrees of freedom. The two-tailed P value equals 0.0015 (χ2= 10.095, d.f.= 1, p= 0.0015). Conclusion: Muslims found to have statistically significant underrepresentation in cases of family-related violence with women resulting in a fatal outcome in Sweden.
This is instead the original argument, the one I am referring to only: The prevalence finding on honour-killings. And my finding stands correct: The Observed/Expected Ratio = 0.2 indicated a clear underrepresentation of the Muslim cases among Family-related violence with women resulting in FATAL outcome in Sweden during the period 1990-2004. Chi squared distribution: Chi squared equals 10.095 with 1 degrees of freedom. The two-tailed P value equals 0.0015 (χ2= 10.095, d.f.= 1, p= 0.0015). Conclusion: Muslims found to have statistically significant underrepresentation in cases of family-related violence with women resulting in a fatal outcome in Sweden.
ii) I do NOT equate the category
“Muslim population” in Sweden with only immigrants of Islam “religious
affiliation”, as Rudling insists to ascribe me. Quite at the contrary, I myself
warned against that misconception (See above Denial mechanisms in
Demographic issues about Muslim immigrants); in absence of any
official
statistics made public by Sweden on the Muslim population I have use as
source
the respective demographic figures reported by the U.S. State
Department. [5] Rudling has not demonstrated that source being "unreliable"
or "equivocal".
iii) Certainly I am NOT an “active supporter
of the perpetrators of honour-related
violence” as
Rudling anew indicts slanderously and ad hominem. That is a preposterous, ungrounded accusation. Instead,
what it is, really, is that I got tired of such cultural-racist descriptions
used as yet another argument for treating the Muslim minority as the pariah of the Swedish population. Professors blogg is indeed For Human Rights For All. [6]
Even a
government's investigation has established, and among other DN, that
Islamophobia is increasing in the Swedish blogosphere. For whatever reasons
these Islamophobic acts are done, they are clearly
infringements against the human rights of this ethnic minority. [7]
Giving pretext for his personal
attacks - which he now says he regrets - Rudling expressly wishes to be
understood as being paramountly compassionate towards the young Muslims that have
perished - victims of these, in fact, outrageous and condemnable honour-killings.
Such sympathetic posturing would be just about right if only true. The question is, has
Rudling ever shown in his writings any compassion, or mentioned at all, the
numerous and bloody racist-killings of young Muslims perpetrated otherwise in
Sweden? [8]
Sweden
has the
obligation under international law to see that the treating of ethnic
minorities, as a group, should be as fair the ethnic majority, or any
other cultural minority, with the same rights and human respect. As we
do in Italy
and I believe they do in the U.S. In their eagerness to identify
themselves with what they believe is the Americans' style, many Swedes have missed the American people's values.
And these political-philosophical values in much contradict political Swedish behaviours and also
social manners. Those enthusiastic Swedes should start reading Jefferson
and the American Constitution.
iv) I have NOT neglected the
problem “honour-related violence”; Oh, no. I have only said that:
a) It is wrong to present “Muslim honour-killings” as endemic phenomenon in Sweden, and b) also wrong to use this false epidemiological argument in trying to
artificially magnify or exaggerate the “Muslim honour-related
violence” problem.
This has been presented through partly announce in the media a non-specified number of "many" such honour-killings that purported have cultural roots in countries with Muslim predominant populations [9], and
partly by advertising in governments sites (Ministry of Education) that "honour-killings" is the ultimate or "extreme" form in the possible development of honour-related violence. [10] I regard such exercises, aimed to discredit immigrants from
Muslim countries as a cultural group, as plain Islamophobic or
culturally-racist motivated.
I have also warned on Rudling’s
conclusive statement “The truth is that honour killings in the Muslim
population is by far over-represented” he made public in his blog 17 April
2012, in view of the racial-discrimination law “Hets mot folkgrupp”. [11]
Rudling does not have a scientifically published calculation of statistical
significance regarding such purported overrepresentation; neither can he refer
to any such publication done in a scientific journal because that simply does
not exist.
v) I have NOT done this
investigation because I wished to put forward my own apriori theses, as
Rudling claims. What it was instead is that I contested such an apriori
thesis put forward upon the Ethical Research Committee [12] and which contained the
same biased - NOT SCIENTIFICALLY PROVEN - notion implying that Swedish "honour
killings in the Muslim population is by far over-represented", or
correlated, the racist notion that Muslims in Sweden are as group culturally
prone to "honour-kill" members of their families.
vi) Regarding Rudling's ungrounded
affirmation that I would not take all cases of Muslim honour-killings into
account and that would meet the given statistical analysis criteria: If Göran Rudling would
have a “secret” list of Muslim honour-killing victims in Sweden occurring
in 1990-2004 which has not come to the knowledge of the Police authority,
university researchers or the Swedish media, I challenge him to publish such a
list giving the concrete dates or whereabouts of the killings.
Summarizing:
a) Honour-related violence is a horrible thing; as horrible as any family-related violence, regardless if it is perpetrated by Swedes, Muslims or other minorities. Yet, what I have inquired into - in the line of my years-long research subject Cross-cultural Fatal Injury Research - is the epidemiology of honour-killings among the Swedish Muslim population; NOT any other. For my investigation I have used a period-prevalence design; NOT any other. The period studied 1990-2004 determined by given time parameters in the available base-calculation data, by the Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention (BRÅ). NOT any other.
Göran Rudling persists in asking me for figures about a phenomenon I have never investigated, on a concrete subject that has never been in the design of my research. He is ascribing to me the subject of his own interest and gets angry because I do not perform the statistical calculations he should be doing himself, if capable.
It is not my fault that Rudling is seemingly deprived of knowledge about basic epidemiology concepts or statistical procedures, such as the difference between prevalence and incidence measurements; it is his problem that he has embarrassed himself in the "judging" of my period-prevalence finding according to his misunderstanding of incidence norms (demonstrated in Appendix 1 down below). These flaws were recognized by Göran Rudling himself in his email of 26 of April, [13] meaning he did not know the difference between prevalence and incidence measurements!
But reading his article now in more detail I conclude that it is not only that above-mentioned catastrophic error which he has incurred, for neither he has understood the meaning of - or relationships between - study-design, research aims, study-period, period prevalence, rates, population, risk estimate, confounder, statistical model, statistical significance, etc. In clear terms, it is not that - as a commenter in his Swedish blog wondered - whether Rudling and I are using different statistics or perform different calculations: it is instead that Rudling has failed to understand the epidemiological rationale of the finding (here below) because he seems not having a clue of what I am talking about:
Göran Rudling persists in asking me for figures about a phenomenon I have never investigated, on a concrete subject that has never been in the design of my research. He is ascribing to me the subject of his own interest and gets angry because I do not perform the statistical calculations he should be doing himself, if capable.
It is not my fault that Rudling is seemingly deprived of knowledge about basic epidemiology concepts or statistical procedures, such as the difference between prevalence and incidence measurements; it is his problem that he has embarrassed himself in the "judging" of my period-prevalence finding according to his misunderstanding of incidence norms (demonstrated in Appendix 1 down below). These flaws were recognized by Göran Rudling himself in his email of 26 of April, [13] meaning he did not know the difference between prevalence and incidence measurements!
But reading his article now in more detail I conclude that it is not only that above-mentioned catastrophic error which he has incurred, for neither he has understood the meaning of - or relationships between - study-design, research aims, study-period, period prevalence, rates, population, risk estimate, confounder, statistical model, statistical significance, etc. In clear terms, it is not that - as a commenter in his Swedish blog wondered - whether Rudling and I are using different statistics or perform different calculations: it is instead that Rudling has failed to understand the epidemiological rationale of the finding (here below) because he seems not having a clue of what I am talking about:
I have explained these concepts and the rationale for the finding above in my article Assange, The Professors, and The Taxi Driver, see Appendix 1 just here below.
b) Göran Rudling still does not answer what PhD, or at
least what academic or scholarly preparation he holds to back his
"research" statements done beyond scientific proof, or to enable him for - in a pretended scientific or academic level - question my academic tenure or "scientific conduct". This is what I asked Göran Rudling in the Open Letter:
"At this time of the discussion I must finally ask you to tell me what academic qualifications or expertise training you have in these matters. It might be that I have been mistaken in my assumptions on this when I wrote my previous comments or email, as you are presented in the Internet as “Swedish scholar”; are you? Nevertheless, at this point, knowledge of your real scholarly preparedness on these issues is vital for me (and your readers) in order to find an adequate level in addressing methodological or scientific issues with you and avoid further misunderstandings. It is a matter-of-fact question, nothing personal."
"At this time of the discussion I must finally ask you to tell me what academic qualifications or expertise training you have in these matters. It might be that I have been mistaken in my assumptions on this when I wrote my previous comments or email, as you are presented in the Internet as “Swedish scholar”; are you? Nevertheless, at this point, knowledge of your real scholarly preparedness on these issues is vital for me (and your readers) in order to find an adequate level in addressing methodological or scientific issues with you and avoid further misunderstandings. It is a matter-of-fact question, nothing personal."
c) Not one of the
each five items in my FIRST rebuttal to Rudling have been met by him (see DOWN below, Appendix 3, My comment of 16 April
2012). Instead, he comes back all the time with new
slander, new twisted interpretations of facts, etc. Professors blogg was VERY CLEAR when stating in this article: “Constructive discussion and criticism of our work is more
than welcome. It has always been. But slander based on ignorance, spurious
information, character attack and biased analysis devoid of logic is not
constructive discussion or criticism, and it is unacceptable.”
Legal issues remain.
Legal issues remain.
References
[1] Göran Rudling "Professor Marcello Ferrada de Noli and honour-related violence"
Rest of references will listed on the 1st of May 2012
[1] Göran Rudling "Professor Marcello Ferrada de Noli and honour-related violence"
Rest of references will listed on the 1st of May 2012
Scientific
epidemiology meets Göran Rudling
Prologue
Julian Assange might go
down in History – specifically the History of Democracy - not only as the
WikiLeaks founder that tried to rescue
the historical record, but also, perhaps mainly, as one of the
principle contributors to world peace.
In truth,
while I watched the first episode of Julian Assange's interview-series The World
Tomorrow I was all the time reflecting on many of my
generation - who rotted in both nations of the Third World and Europe - and
on the valuable role that Olof Palme played internationally, to which I
can give testimony: Olof Palme did much for constructing peace because he was
trusted broadly by people around the Third Wold and by many in Europe,
in addition to having a significant influence in the international scene.
In
times when journalism
is extremely biased in favour the establishment, would Hassan Nasrallah
accepted been interviewed by any other than Assange who has
demonstrated
such an uncompromising activist
position in dealing with world powers? Obviously not: the Hezbollah leader
waited six years to find a worthy interlocutor. Is it important for the
possibilities of peace in the region - for finding new strategies to solve
military deadlocks or political stalemates - that such stigmatized voices be
also heard? The answer to this was loud and clear in the interview, as BBC announced afterwards, “Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah chief, offers Syria mediation”.
In my opinion, advocating
for Neutrality in geopolitics does not mean the opportunism of positioning oneself,
or pretended positioning oneself as being “neutral” between two belligerent
factions or powers. That it was what Sweden perhaps did in the past (before
openly becoming full NATO vassal state), but not what Palme did as statesman,
or even Carl Bildt did in his older role as peace searcher in the Balkan wars.
Heroes of the world
tomorrow will be those few that audaciously and creatively today put their
position at stake in the line of political fire, to call or enable negotiations
for peace, for that Tomorrow shall be true for many.
II
The choice by Assange of Hezbollah's Hassan
Nasrallah, one of the principle figures in the Muslim world, was of
course not well received by everybody and provoked in a few souls on the
Internet much irritation. In Sweden the default mainstream media (MSM)
comment that Assange is "paranoid" was instantaneously delivered, firstly
this time in an editorial blog by Svenska dagbladet, SvD. Göran Rudling's Islamophobic blog followed suit and against this backdrop
published in the context a new attack
on Assange's legal defense. Ornamenting the article was a graphic
consisting of the text "Only the paranoid survive" - motto of the
Jewish-American businessman Andrew Grove. In previous entries, Rudling's
blog has devoted long columns to slander research findings giving
proof that, contrary to what he wants people to believe,
Muslims
are found to have statistically significant underrepresentation in
cases of family-related violence with women resulting in a fatal outcome
in Sweden.
Who
is this Göran Rudling? For
me he was practically unknown recently. I have never mentioned
him and certainly have nothing against him personally or otherwise. I
had the
impression, based only through referred comments, that his "Internet
detective"
digging of twitters was once important in helping to clarify issues in
the Assange case. His sudden attacks surprised me, not so much because they
were directed against me (although it is the FIRST TIME ever in my long
academic and
research life that I read such virulent, nearly insane invectives about
me personally or about my research or article writings), but because
after reading it and other of his articles, there emerged a
campaign pattern where: a) the target of his attacks are the few journalists or
scholars who have provided some ongoing production of analyses or information
flow about the SWEDISH factors in the case, especially the political aspects;
b) the spreading in the social media is coordinated with the prolific production
of propaganda attributed or "signed" by one or two same "trolls"; and
c) Although this "spreading" is directed to all spheres in social media the "trolls" have tried to
target Twitter accounts of WikiLeaks supporters, or Julian Assange and Bradley Manning
supporters. The effects of this campaign could be damaging only insofar as they can confound people regarding the actual positions that Julian Assange or WikiLeaks hold. One of these 'psyoperations' intended to portray WikiLeaks as channeling an "anti-feminist" narrative. That episode was rebutted already by Professors blogg in Disclosing The Fifth Column.
The anti-WikiLeaks agenda
of Göran Rudling has many assignments. One such assignment - as recently
disclosed by email messages that have been published on the Internet -
consist in discrediting witness' statements presented by Assange's defense, to
give the notion those documents were "made-up" or even forced upon
the witnesses. Along the same lines and in a separate article, Rudling has
slandered my research on Swedish MSM trial by media against Assange. It was about an analysis sustaining an off-court witness statement submitted by Julian Assange's legal
defense to the UK judge.
[Professors Blogg has in previous articles (summary here) deconstructed the negative media campaign in Sweden regarding Wikileaks editor Julian Assange and examined how that campaign is necessitated by the fact that the Assange case in Sweden exposes to international scrutiny several facets of Swedish domestic laws considered unfair or undemocratic, or government actions regarding international relationships that damage irrevocably the image held internationally of Sweden as a neutral and just State.]
[Professors Blogg has in previous articles (summary here) deconstructed the negative media campaign in Sweden regarding Wikileaks editor Julian Assange and examined how that campaign is necessitated by the fact that the Assange case in Sweden exposes to international scrutiny several facets of Swedish domestic laws considered unfair or undemocratic, or government actions regarding international relationships that damage irrevocably the image held internationally of Sweden as a neutral and just State.]
Rudling is NOT- as he has
led one or two WL supporters to believe - trying to assist in
"proving" that "bad Assange lawyers" indulged in some
"professional misconduct" and that his intentions would be to
"help" Assange by exposing the practices of the law firm that
formerly represented him. But a more plausible aim of his actions is to discredit the content
of the witness statements as such and their validity, and consequently
diminishing or inhibiting its usefulness in an eventual trial. For, which court
would heed as tenable a "coerced" written witness
testimony?
A "troll"
campaign on Twitter and on blogs has managed to present Rudling at the Internet
as a notable “Swedish legal scholar”. In fact, as I learn quite recently, Göran
Rudling is a taxi driver in Stockholm. Driving a taxi is
a profession as noble as any. But this means he is NOT the “notable Swedish
legal scholar” that the above-mentioned twitter and blogging campaign have us
believe. Having lived during many years in central Stockholm (Styrmansgatan, in
Östermalm) I had my share of driving through streets at rush hours traffic. I can understand that the least insulting name-calling Rudling has used to refer supporters
of the cause of justice for Julian Assange, including me, has been of the type
of “the idiots John Pilger, Michael
Moore, Bianca Jagger, and Marcello Ferrada de Noli” -- as he called us in “The Ruminants at Flashback - and at The Supreme Court”
(3 February 2012).
However, Rudling’s
favourite number is name-calling, specifically calling his targets “liars”. In his
recent post "The reason why Assange was not interviewed in England"
(19 April 2012) he
now accuses Assange's lawyers in England of having put forward "a damned
lie" aimed to deceive the court and witness Brita Sundberg-Weitman
and Sven-Erik Alhem about to influence what they have actually declared. For
that he quotes remarks by lawyer Jennifer Robinson. Rudling concludes
"What is it that makes (the English lawyers) believe they can win a case
by hiding the truth?
But what he was really
after was another, more sophisticated smear, as was recently disclosed by
an email-series published in the Internet. In those communications it becomes
evident how he has been plotting to discredit witness statements presented by
Assange's defense (by giving the notion they were "made-up"
or even forced upon the witnesses -see above). On 13 April he asked 'a troll'
to contact witness Brita Sundberg-Weitman and try getting a supportive
"evidence" for his plot.
Rudling and the 'troll'
were to face a rotund disappointment.
Brita Sundberg-Weitman, a Swedish judge and author, much respected for her integrity,
replied 15 April:
"Sorry, I cannot help
there. To be sure, AFTER we had met and talked they [the English lawyers] presented a rough draft for
my statement, but they adjusted it to my observations and didn’t put anything
in that I could not fully agree with. How could they make
Rudling, Hurtig and Alhem sign something they did not agree with?"
She mentions thereafter, in separate sentence referring to another issue:
“. . .Besides, I think Göran Rudling is also stupid and aggressive at times”
Rudling's compulsion of calling any target a
"liar" according to his agenda, can have a "mass
expression" too; meaning not only individuals but also organizations can
be accused by Rudling of "lying" on the basis of different opinions
or interpretations. Recently, in an article sent to the Swedish State Television's
SvD-debatt on February 2012, Göran Rudling accused an entire trade union in Sweden of
“lying” (see box at right). The accusation in the result of not taking (only
according to Ruling) a hard enough stance against “illegitimate” or criminal
workers in the branch --a branch were Middle East and African immigrants
have become majority. Racist comments supporting his theses in the
article were gladly published by the Swedish State Television's
SvD-debatt. Well, no surprise here, when the very Swedish Minister of Culture
Affairs indulges in worst publicly racist acts.She mentions thereafter, in separate sentence referring to another issue:
“. . .Besides, I think Göran Rudling is also stupid and aggressive at times”
III
Scientific research is
not like driving a taxi, going wherever a passenger pays to be taken at
his/her caprice or need. Scientific Epidemiology research is a serious
endeavour conducted with academic integrity and with the scientific method as its
only compass. Public Health is paramount. As it is with Professors integrity
and the academic procedures of their research appointments, the same rigour
applies for the designation by the Swedish government of professors to
constitute the Ethical Research Committee. These standards are serious
business. It cannot be accepted that a simple troll, solely on the basis that
he/she possesses a keyboard and has access to Internet, for whatever personal
or political motivations indulges in an injurious public campaign with
article-series aimed to defame professionally Swedish professors, through
bizarre name-calling or gratuitous smear implying scientific misconduct.
Constructive discussion and criticism of our work is more than welcome. It has
always been. But slander based on ignorance, spurious information, character
attack and biased “analysis” devoid of logic is not constructive
discussion or criticism, and it is unacceptable.
Contents, Aims
In this analysis
formulated as open letter to Göran Rudling, but aimed principally to the
readers of Professors blog and the supporters of the cause of justice for
Julian Assange, I describe a) the racist and flawed argumentation aimed to
present Muslim immigrants, collectively, as culturally prone to the behaviour
of "honour killing" members of their families! b), the rationale for my
statistical significant finding on the actual underrepresentation of Muslims in
cases of family-related violence with women resulting in a fatal outcome in
Sweden, c) the possible reasons behind this coordinated campaign aimed, as
disclosed recently in the Internet, to discredit WikiLeaks supporters with the
purpose of ultimately splitting WL and weakening Julian Assange’s legal defense
through “guilt by association”. This material was sent to Göran Rudling's blog, in response to his recent attacks on Professors blogg,
but it was not published there. I include an Appendix with a previous rebuttal
to Rudling published in his blog, and I publish also Rudlings's own text to which I am
there replying.
IV
A Rebuttal to Göran Rudling's slander in "Professor Marcello Ferrada de Noli and honour-related violence"
A Rebuttal to Göran Rudling's slander in "Professor Marcello Ferrada de Noli and honour-related violence"
Open letter to Göran Rudling
Dear Mr Göran
Rudling,
You might not be aware
that you are downright embarrassing your self here, and your honourable
profession of taxi drivers. In the professional level this is a discussion I took
up with Uppsala University professors around an application at the Research
Ethics Committee, and it is about cross-cultural injury epidemiology, my
research speciality. [a] [b] In the political aspect is about whether Swedish
cultural-racists have grounds or not for magnifying the qualification of Muslim
honour killings in Sweden by promoting a notion of prevalence that is
inaccurate. However for you, Mr Rudling, this is only an opportunity you took
for implementing your announced campaign aimed to discredit Julian Assange
legal's defense through your idea of "guilt by association"; with the
peculiar characteristic that the "guilt" items you intended to
associate were disclosed as fabrications. Such as your first number trying to
depict Professors blogg as "anti-feminist", notion we demolished in Disclosing the Fifth Column.
But you also have
demonstrated having some strong positions against some immigrants groups in
Sweden. Racism, though, is not the only problem in this epidemiological discussion;
there needs to be some understanding of the basics of what we are talking
about.
You have never
previously in your own blog-writings yourself used the word “prevalence” before
you saw it operational in the works by Traci Birge [c] or me in the Professors
blogg. You obviously have not heard much either about the precise concept
“incidence”. It is also a basic measurement in epidemiology, as prevalence,
morbidity, etc. Well, you have been mixing up those different measurements
outrageously. And – if not deliberately – that basic misconception would
explain why you embarrass yourself in the
Internet with this compulsive “mission” of judging my Prevalence calculation
with the norm of a supposedly “Incidence study” that has never been MY
design.
Prevalence is NOT incidence
I give you here below a
link where you can in the simplest way visualize the difference between the
measurements of incidence and prevalence. [2] If you would like to learn
a more in-depth illustration I give you also the reference of the basic reading
literature [3] I recommend my students attending the introductory epidemiology
lectures before getting into more advanced courses – there are many courses and
several theses or academic degrees before they can obtain a PhD and call
themselves researchers. At this time of the discussion I must finally ask you
to tell me what academic qualifications or expertise training you have in these
matters. It might be that I have been mistaken in my assumptions on this when I
wrote my previous comments or email, as you are presented in the Internet as
“Swedish scholar”; are you? Nevertheless, at this point, knowledge of your real
scholarly preparedness on these issues is vital for me (and your readers) in
order to find an adequate level in addressing methodological or scientific
issues with you and avoid further misunderstandings. It is a matter-of-fact
question, nothing personal.
You expressly said in a comment at your blog, addressed to me, “PREVALENCE is the number of cases in a population DIVIDED
BY THE NUMBER OF INDIVIDUALS AT RISK in the population.”
But you are
utterly wrong, what you refer above is “Incidence rate”, not “prevalence”. Read
a simple definition quoted for you here: “An incidence rate is the number of
new cases of a disease divided by the number of PERSONS AT RISK FOR THE
DISEASE”. [From: “Basic Statistics: About Incidence, Prevalence, Morbidity, and
Mortality - Statistics Teaching Tools”] [2]
And what is instead prevalence? “A prevalence rate is the total number of cases of a disease existing in a population divided by the TOTAL POPULATION.” [2, Idem]
In spite that the above “confusion” certainly gives totally different results in these investigations I will not call you a "liar" or a “cheater” for that, just that you are catastrophically wrong. But I will invite you to reflect that you still indulge in calling me names on the basis of your own errors. You say you praise men that can recognize when they have judged in mistake. Prove that Göran Rudling.
Moreover, in spite of several warnings, you kept on ignoring in this uninvited “review” of my finding the inclusive and exclusive criteria that was used for quantifying cases in the contingency table, as well as the rationale for the specific study period. All those aspects were explicitly given in my report of the significant finding. The N= cases you appeal correspond to a total you have yourself obtained adding study periods which is not the one of my design (1990-2004); this study period referred in my calculation was in its turn determined by parameters in the actual base-line data provided by BRÅ. [4]
My finding stands correct: The Observed/Expected Ratio = 0.2 indicated a clear underrepresentation of the Muslim cases among Family-related violence with women resulting in fatal outcome in Sweden during the period 1990-2004. Chi squared distribution: Chi squared equals 10.095 with 1 degrees of freedom. The two-tailed P value equals 0.0015 (χ2= 10.095, d.f.= 1, p= 0.0015). Conclusion: Muslims found to have statistically significant underrepresentation in cases of family-related violence with women resulting in a fatal outcome in Sweden.
And what is instead prevalence? “A prevalence rate is the total number of cases of a disease existing in a population divided by the TOTAL POPULATION.” [2, Idem]
In spite that the above “confusion” certainly gives totally different results in these investigations I will not call you a "liar" or a “cheater” for that, just that you are catastrophically wrong. But I will invite you to reflect that you still indulge in calling me names on the basis of your own errors. You say you praise men that can recognize when they have judged in mistake. Prove that Göran Rudling.
Moreover, in spite of several warnings, you kept on ignoring in this uninvited “review” of my finding the inclusive and exclusive criteria that was used for quantifying cases in the contingency table, as well as the rationale for the specific study period. All those aspects were explicitly given in my report of the significant finding. The N= cases you appeal correspond to a total you have yourself obtained adding study periods which is not the one of my design (1990-2004); this study period referred in my calculation was in its turn determined by parameters in the actual base-line data provided by BRÅ. [4]
My finding stands correct: The Observed/Expected Ratio = 0.2 indicated a clear underrepresentation of the Muslim cases among Family-related violence with women resulting in fatal outcome in Sweden during the period 1990-2004. Chi squared distribution: Chi squared equals 10.095 with 1 degrees of freedom. The two-tailed P value equals 0.0015 (χ2= 10.095, d.f.= 1, p= 0.0015). Conclusion: Muslims found to have statistically significant underrepresentation in cases of family-related violence with women resulting in a fatal outcome in Sweden.
Denial mechanisms in Demographic issues about Muslim immigrants
As to the estimation
of the Muslim population, one main flaw is to equate the “cultural” Muslim
category – used in research as an operational concept (a multifactorial
research categorization comprising among other idiosyncratic, ethnographic and
demographic factors) – with only Muslim-Religion followers.
A second error is considering only the statistics on foreign-born Muslim populations and discounting population figures represented by second-generation immigrants. Already in 2001, 25 per cent of all Swedes aged 0-17 were daughter or son of at least one foreign-born parent (N= 170,625). Statistics Sweden has made a table with data of the nine countries most represented among the individuals age 0-21 with immigrant background. [5] In the table were included only foreign-born children/youth and those born in Sweden having both foreign-born parents. Children/youth with only one parent foreign-born were excluded. I have computed that data and found the countries Iraq, Turkey, Bosnia-Hercegovina, Somalia, the former Yugoslavia, Iran and Lebanon constituted over the 80 per cent of that material. Chile and Finland were also represented in the cohort but constituting only the 5.4 respective 12.8 per cent.
As a former Harvard Research Fellow I am acquainted with official U.S. statistics and have no reason to doubt their validity; whereas you have impugned the U.S. Sate Department analysis as unreliable source, and also untruly presented it as a local report from the Embassy in Stockholm. However – and in absence of official Swedish statistics addressing ethnicity-related variables - I use the source of the U.S. Department of Foreign Affairs particularly attending to the known aspect that U.S. possesses accurate information about Sweden – among other provided by Swedish government agencies. The U.S. State Department report estimates the actual Muslim population in Sweden of being 450,000 - 500,000 or 5 per cent of the total population [5]. Efforts such as you deploy, trying to ignore the magnitude of the actual “Muslim” population, appear more peculiar for every year, as the growing cohort of young Swedes of the second-generation immigrant continues to increase rapidly –you like it or not.
On the other hand, the participation possibilities of immigrants in the cultural and political life of Sweden are anything but prominent. Official “Integration” policies seldom leave the desks of governmental offices or the good wishes of one or another personality. A conservative sentiment of “us” and “they” is reputed to be rather strong among many Swedes. Added that to the discrimination exercised against immigrants with respect to work issues or in a variety of societal spheres, a result of it is that the presence of immigrants in Sweden tends to be “hidden” from the eye of the public as well the media, etc. I am sure that many would be very surprised to know that immigrants in Sweden - or individuals with foreign background as they are called statistically speaking - are in fact over the 26 per cent of the total Swedish population (2,450,537 individuals comprising 1,384,929 foreign-born immigrants and 1,065,608 born in Sweden of one or both foreign-born parents).
A second error is considering only the statistics on foreign-born Muslim populations and discounting population figures represented by second-generation immigrants. Already in 2001, 25 per cent of all Swedes aged 0-17 were daughter or son of at least one foreign-born parent (N= 170,625). Statistics Sweden has made a table with data of the nine countries most represented among the individuals age 0-21 with immigrant background. [5] In the table were included only foreign-born children/youth and those born in Sweden having both foreign-born parents. Children/youth with only one parent foreign-born were excluded. I have computed that data and found the countries Iraq, Turkey, Bosnia-Hercegovina, Somalia, the former Yugoslavia, Iran and Lebanon constituted over the 80 per cent of that material. Chile and Finland were also represented in the cohort but constituting only the 5.4 respective 12.8 per cent.
As a former Harvard Research Fellow I am acquainted with official U.S. statistics and have no reason to doubt their validity; whereas you have impugned the U.S. Sate Department analysis as unreliable source, and also untruly presented it as a local report from the Embassy in Stockholm. However – and in absence of official Swedish statistics addressing ethnicity-related variables - I use the source of the U.S. Department of Foreign Affairs particularly attending to the known aspect that U.S. possesses accurate information about Sweden – among other provided by Swedish government agencies. The U.S. State Department report estimates the actual Muslim population in Sweden of being 450,000 - 500,000 or 5 per cent of the total population [5]. Efforts such as you deploy, trying to ignore the magnitude of the actual “Muslim” population, appear more peculiar for every year, as the growing cohort of young Swedes of the second-generation immigrant continues to increase rapidly –you like it or not.
On the other hand, the participation possibilities of immigrants in the cultural and political life of Sweden are anything but prominent. Official “Integration” policies seldom leave the desks of governmental offices or the good wishes of one or another personality. A conservative sentiment of “us” and “they” is reputed to be rather strong among many Swedes. Added that to the discrimination exercised against immigrants with respect to work issues or in a variety of societal spheres, a result of it is that the presence of immigrants in Sweden tends to be “hidden” from the eye of the public as well the media, etc. I am sure that many would be very surprised to know that immigrants in Sweden - or individuals with foreign background as they are called statistically speaking - are in fact over the 26 per cent of the total Swedish population (2,450,537 individuals comprising 1,384,929 foreign-born immigrants and 1,065,608 born in Sweden of one or both foreign-born parents).
In that demographic
context, disavowal of the figure of 450,000 first and second-generation
immigrants ascribed to the operational concept Muslim culture may have a
variety of causes. Failure to acknowledge the current socio-economic and
cultural demographics is perhaps part of a defence mechanism by both
individuals in denial that fundamental changes have taken place in the Swedish
society, and effects of the crumbling social welfare infrastructure that is
nowadays behind the times regarding the realities of Sweden.
This tendency to minimize the actual demographic presence in Sweden of Muslim-religion or Muslim-culture immigrant groups contrasts vividly with the magnifying of individuals' deeds, which are often deceivingly presented as a culturally expressive of the entirely Muslim group. Several attempts in this regard have been assayed in Sweden; the recent approval of the Research Ethics Committee in March 2012 of one of such “research projects” – and which motivated my article “Throw them all out” is one example. There are even more suggested investigation paths trying to demonstrate the collective guilt of the Muslim “cultural gen”.
This tendency to minimize the actual demographic presence in Sweden of Muslim-religion or Muslim-culture immigrant groups contrasts vividly with the magnifying of individuals' deeds, which are often deceivingly presented as a culturally expressive of the entirely Muslim group. Several attempts in this regard have been assayed in Sweden; the recent approval of the Research Ethics Committee in March 2012 of one of such “research projects” – and which motivated my article “Throw them all out” is one example. There are even more suggested investigation paths trying to demonstrate the collective guilt of the Muslim “cultural gen”.
“If the facts do not meet your theory, change the
facts” (Einstein, in a Princeton joke)
This leads to your
persistent request to me, via email, that I should do a calculation of honour
killings based instead on a reductionist- sampling approach of the “population
at risk” as you consider it.
• Firstly, I do not understand why you have not done that yourself and published it – that simple; why keeping asking me to do the calculation YOU are interested in and which is NOT relevant to the query in my design (limited to a nation-wide study of period-prevalence referring “honour killings among the MUSLIM POPULATION of Sweden”)?
• Secondly, that approach - for your purpose - is unrealistic, as you would never find a credible “final criteria” for subdividing the “Nation-wide” sampling.
• Thirdly, indications using incidence rates considering populations at risk is to also be accompanied with calculations of the “Relation Risk Estimate”, which demand a number of expected cases to be held as control cases.
The first population-base you talked about was to compare to only immigrants from respective immigrant-countries where honour killings are most prevalent. But again, that reflects only YOUR ideological aim or reductionist concern. My concern was different and was to find whether there was any evidence that the honour killings perpetrated by “Muslims in Sweden” (also referred as “Immigrants from the Middle East”) has in Sweden an ENDEMIC distribution.
After you dropped the above you started to talk about “only Muslim women” as cut-off criteria, assuming that honour killings affect only the “women” in the Muslim community, not the whole family (or that no male victim, or no female perpetrator is ever implicated); You fail to understand that this argument – for instance under the assumption that honour killings only have women as victims, whether that is tenable or not as hypothesis – is NOT relevant to the material I have studied or its calculations and results, because even if I would use as base population only Muslim women, I also would have to use for the Non-Muslim category only Non-Muslim women and the data will be paired in the contingency table. Summing up, the P value will be the same. This in view of two demographic aspects,
a) The gender ratio between foreign born immigrants in Sweden is even distributed, showing in fact a slightly increase in the number of women in respect to men; the representation of women in the different immigrant groups separately considered ranges from 60 per cent to 46 per cent, [6] Gender distribution is also generally paired in immigrant groups with a typical or high Muslim predominance. Somalis, for example – considered as having the highest Muslim composition – show a distribution of 49.54 per cent women and 50.46 men. Further, among other nationalities of known Muslim configuration such as Eritreans or immigrants from Bosnia and Herzegovina, the representation of women is even over 50 per cent (52.3 and 50.7 per cent women, respectively). Foreign-born immigrants from Iraq or Turkey show a representation of 45.8 respectively 45.2 per cent women. [7]
b) The gender distribution among the second-generation immigrants follows the “normal” distribution observed in Sweden between genders. [4]
• Firstly, I do not understand why you have not done that yourself and published it – that simple; why keeping asking me to do the calculation YOU are interested in and which is NOT relevant to the query in my design (limited to a nation-wide study of period-prevalence referring “honour killings among the MUSLIM POPULATION of Sweden”)?
• Secondly, that approach - for your purpose - is unrealistic, as you would never find a credible “final criteria” for subdividing the “Nation-wide” sampling.
• Thirdly, indications using incidence rates considering populations at risk is to also be accompanied with calculations of the “Relation Risk Estimate”, which demand a number of expected cases to be held as control cases.
The first population-base you talked about was to compare to only immigrants from respective immigrant-countries where honour killings are most prevalent. But again, that reflects only YOUR ideological aim or reductionist concern. My concern was different and was to find whether there was any evidence that the honour killings perpetrated by “Muslims in Sweden” (also referred as “Immigrants from the Middle East”) has in Sweden an ENDEMIC distribution.
After you dropped the above you started to talk about “only Muslim women” as cut-off criteria, assuming that honour killings affect only the “women” in the Muslim community, not the whole family (or that no male victim, or no female perpetrator is ever implicated); You fail to understand that this argument – for instance under the assumption that honour killings only have women as victims, whether that is tenable or not as hypothesis – is NOT relevant to the material I have studied or its calculations and results, because even if I would use as base population only Muslim women, I also would have to use for the Non-Muslim category only Non-Muslim women and the data will be paired in the contingency table. Summing up, the P value will be the same. This in view of two demographic aspects,
a) The gender ratio between foreign born immigrants in Sweden is even distributed, showing in fact a slightly increase in the number of women in respect to men; the representation of women in the different immigrant groups separately considered ranges from 60 per cent to 46 per cent, [6] Gender distribution is also generally paired in immigrant groups with a typical or high Muslim predominance. Somalis, for example – considered as having the highest Muslim composition – show a distribution of 49.54 per cent women and 50.46 men. Further, among other nationalities of known Muslim configuration such as Eritreans or immigrants from Bosnia and Herzegovina, the representation of women is even over 50 per cent (52.3 and 50.7 per cent women, respectively). Foreign-born immigrants from Iraq or Turkey show a representation of 45.8 respectively 45.2 per cent women. [7]
b) The gender distribution among the second-generation immigrants follows the “normal” distribution observed in Sweden between genders. [4]
The cultural-racial notion postulates that Swedish
population, by definition, cannot commit “honour killings”, because such
behavior is per definition reserved to Muslims
Let us evaluate how
you might subdivide your data set, which consists in the TOTAL POPULATION of
somewhere around 5-8 incidents you refer over several years (including cases
occurred out side the study period of my investigation) and come up with any
statistically valid result. First comes your assumption that the study
phenomenon may affect only “young women” in age to possibly have relationships
with “unwanted” boyfriends; then – if you still do not reach the calculated
rate figures you wish – perhaps you may suggest that only the nice looking
girls should be counted because they are those constituting the “real”
population at risk, as otherwise they are less likely they would have
relationships with “unwanted” Swedish boys! Etc. etc. Not to mention that you
would still like to have a further reduction in the size of the
to-be-calculated population attending to only geographic areas where “most” of
the cases were perpetrated etc., etc., and why not to look at the size of the
shoes to obtain a further reduced population to divide the number of observed
cases! So much for your idea of a nation-wide study designed to establish a
nation-wide prevalence rate.
Here I must also address a very important fact that Traci Birge has pointed out clearly in her article [8] and that you have, through your own definition of honour killings, supported: The native Swedish population, by definition, cannot commit “honour killings”, because the very definition is reserved for the immigrant population that comes from a certain ethnic background. These reasons are the crux of why we say that we need to look at violence against women by close familial relations that result in death of women.
Here I must also address a very important fact that Traci Birge has pointed out clearly in her article [8] and that you have, through your own definition of honour killings, supported: The native Swedish population, by definition, cannot commit “honour killings”, because the very definition is reserved for the immigrant population that comes from a certain ethnic background. These reasons are the crux of why we say that we need to look at violence against women by close familial relations that result in death of women.
Further, we can only
in science go as far as the existing data allows us --when we reach the limit
of the data we have to acknowledge that. It is problematic to present as
scientific data a category of “honour killings” that is not defined by law in
Sweden, not treated consistently, and skewed by design. This is perhaps the
most fundamental design flaw of your attempts at statistical analysis and compartmentalization
of data for the purpose of obtaining an a priori result. I refer you
again to the statistics textbooks for more on research design.
My last try here will consist in giving you two illustrations using another violent-death mode we study in Injury Epidemiology research, namely suicide. I will use here rates from the peer-reviewed published article “A cross- cultural breakdown of Swedish Suicide” I published in Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica while I was at Harvard Medical School [9]. Sweden had in the study period 1987-1991 a combined rate of definite and undetermined suicide [10] of 24. You have possibly heard that the suicide rate of different countries is internationally given by a rate per 100,000 of the population. If we would apply the same notions you wish to use in calculating honour killings, only a rate of populations at risk for suicide should be counted for the rates Sweden sends annually to the World Health Organization (WHO). Only this rate should be held as valid in representing “Nation-wide Suicide in Sweden”. Let’s see, what are the populations at risk for suicide in Sweden?
Generally speaking researchers are in agreement that the diagnosis depression is associated with the majority of suicide cases, or, using another formulation, that depression states are a risk for suicidal behaviour. Would this mean according to your epidemiological notions that the real rate of suicide in Sweden is that one corresponding to the rate among people with a depression diagnosis? Or perhaps better, the rate resulting of the calculation based in the population at risk of acquiring a depression-related diagnosis? One extra burden would be for you to find first what is the exact incidence of depression in Sweden or exact parameters for depression vulnerability.
Illustrating your confusion between Prevalence and Incidence rates
My last try here will consist in giving you two illustrations using another violent-death mode we study in Injury Epidemiology research, namely suicide. I will use here rates from the peer-reviewed published article “A cross- cultural breakdown of Swedish Suicide” I published in Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica while I was at Harvard Medical School [9]. Sweden had in the study period 1987-1991 a combined rate of definite and undetermined suicide [10] of 24. You have possibly heard that the suicide rate of different countries is internationally given by a rate per 100,000 of the population. If we would apply the same notions you wish to use in calculating honour killings, only a rate of populations at risk for suicide should be counted for the rates Sweden sends annually to the World Health Organization (WHO). Only this rate should be held as valid in representing “Nation-wide Suicide in Sweden”. Let’s see, what are the populations at risk for suicide in Sweden?
Generally speaking researchers are in agreement that the diagnosis depression is associated with the majority of suicide cases, or, using another formulation, that depression states are a risk for suicidal behaviour. Would this mean according to your epidemiological notions that the real rate of suicide in Sweden is that one corresponding to the rate among people with a depression diagnosis? Or perhaps better, the rate resulting of the calculation based in the population at risk of acquiring a depression-related diagnosis? One extra burden would be for you to find first what is the exact incidence of depression in Sweden or exact parameters for depression vulnerability.
Illustrating your confusion between Prevalence and Incidence rates
A clear-cut group of
individuals at potential risk for suicide in Sweden are foreign-born
immigrants. While the above-mentioned combined suicide rate was 24 per 100,000
for Nation-wide Sweden, the suicide rate in the period among immigrants was
31.7 and for native Swedes only 23.3. This means that immigrants are high
significantly overrepresented (χ2 = 44.7, p= 0.0001) among the total
cases of the period studied. So, being that the immigrants group is more at
risk for suicide, why not present the 31.7 instead of 24 as the rate
representing the total Swedish population?
And when discovered that among foreign-born immigrants the group with the highest O/E Ratio is the Finnish-immigrants cohort (O/E= 2.23, p= 0.0001), why not using the Finnish-immigrant rate of 53.7 instead as representative of the suicides in Sweden in the period? And then the majority of Finns suicide victims were men, and then among these men the majority in the age segment 40-44 years old. But of course, I should not forget the depression risk factor. Where would you do the population cutting for the nation-wide calculation of suicides in Sweden? Would you stop in the category Depressive-Foreign-born-Finnish-Immigrant-Men/aged 44-44? Judging for your comments both to Traci’s and mine investigations, I do not believe so --at least not if it the result still is contrary to what you want.
Now, we could potentially do research on the "Depressive-Foreign-born-Finnish-Immigrant-Men/aged 44-44" for the purpose of policy intervention (but these would not be the national statistics reported!), but only because the group has been identified systematically through prior research. What you are proposing in the honour killing debate is to take a flawed definition that a priori excludes the vast majority of the population and make assumptions that cannot be tested (data does not exist) about a supposed highest risk group that you yourself will define and redefine until you achieve the desired outcome, which regardless of your calculations cannot be statistically significant anyway because you will have (falsely) subdivided the data to death. This approach to science is like someone who has seen an anatomy book thinking they can do surgery --you will cause more harm than good to your patient!
And when discovered that among foreign-born immigrants the group with the highest O/E Ratio is the Finnish-immigrants cohort (O/E= 2.23, p= 0.0001), why not using the Finnish-immigrant rate of 53.7 instead as representative of the suicides in Sweden in the period? And then the majority of Finns suicide victims were men, and then among these men the majority in the age segment 40-44 years old. But of course, I should not forget the depression risk factor. Where would you do the population cutting for the nation-wide calculation of suicides in Sweden? Would you stop in the category Depressive-Foreign-born-Finnish-Immigrant-Men/aged 44-44? Judging for your comments both to Traci’s and mine investigations, I do not believe so --at least not if it the result still is contrary to what you want.
Now, we could potentially do research on the "Depressive-Foreign-born-Finnish-Immigrant-Men/aged 44-44" for the purpose of policy intervention (but these would not be the national statistics reported!), but only because the group has been identified systematically through prior research. What you are proposing in the honour killing debate is to take a flawed definition that a priori excludes the vast majority of the population and make assumptions that cannot be tested (data does not exist) about a supposed highest risk group that you yourself will define and redefine until you achieve the desired outcome, which regardless of your calculations cannot be statistically significant anyway because you will have (falsely) subdivided the data to death. This approach to science is like someone who has seen an anatomy book thinking they can do surgery --you will cause more harm than good to your patient!
Scientific research is not like driving a taxi
Mr Göran Rudling, I absolutely do not mean to offend you. In fact, I have nothing personal against you, never had. But at this stage of such an extreme disregard for academic ethics or procedures YOU have taken in this concerted PUBLIC campaign (now disclosed in the Internet) aimed “to stop WikiLeaks” linking my analyses - I am obliged to remind you of the following; and for your own best:
Scientific research is not like driving a taxi, going wherever a passenger wishes to be directed at his/her caprice or need. Scientific epidemiological research is a serious endeavour for Public Health Sciences and health policies including mental health and social medicine. The nomination of Swedish professors is done under public contest according to strict procedures regulated by Swedish National Agency for Higher Education (Högskoleverket). The same level of rigour applies for the designation by the Swedish government of professors to constitute the Research Ethical Committee. These standards and appointments are serious business. It cannot be accepted that an individual, solely on the basis that he/she possesses a keyboard and has access to Internet, for whatever personal or political motivations indulges in an injurious PUBLIC campaign with article-series AIMED to the professional defamation of Swedish professors with accusations of scientific misconduct and discrediting the above-mentioned academic procedures or investitures. As I have said before, constructive discussion and criticism of our work is more than welcome. It has always been. But defamation based on false information, character attack and wrongly or biased executed “analysis” is not constructive discussion or criticism, and it is unacceptable. You have to understand that. There are in fact laws in Sweden making authors of such defamations accountable. And as in any Penal Code, the criminal grading of the offense increases with systematic reiteration.
You would be wise to reflect how serious this legal issue is. I have no wish to litigate in court – I am not the type - but in your refusal to change your libellous expressions you might end in giving me no other choice than to file a police report regarding your defamation as evident in this, as well in your previous article, or in your comments in this blog that I have recently seen.
Regarding the new escalation in your insults and your resumption of name-calling here in your blog: I remind you – I should have done so in the first place - that you gave me your word just a couple of days ago that you will cease doing that. In fact, besides the apology you sent to me in a private email, you wrote exactly these terms which you published in your blog the 15 April 2012: “I am sorry if I have offended you . . . FOR THE FUTURE I WILL NOT USE ANY OFFENSIVE EXPRESSIONS”. Don’t you realize that when you gave your word you have made yourself accountable for that in a matter of honour? You should reflect on that seriously. Word of honour is a most important issue in many cultures, including Sweden. For some, it is a personal and cultural ethic more important than the law. There is an old Latin saying from the Romans time that as the bull is worth for its horns so is the man by his word.
Your real position about Julian Assange’s legal defense in disclose
Mr Göran Rudling, I absolutely do not mean to offend you. In fact, I have nothing personal against you, never had. But at this stage of such an extreme disregard for academic ethics or procedures YOU have taken in this concerted PUBLIC campaign (now disclosed in the Internet) aimed “to stop WikiLeaks” linking my analyses - I am obliged to remind you of the following; and for your own best:
Scientific research is not like driving a taxi, going wherever a passenger wishes to be directed at his/her caprice or need. Scientific epidemiological research is a serious endeavour for Public Health Sciences and health policies including mental health and social medicine. The nomination of Swedish professors is done under public contest according to strict procedures regulated by Swedish National Agency for Higher Education (Högskoleverket). The same level of rigour applies for the designation by the Swedish government of professors to constitute the Research Ethical Committee. These standards and appointments are serious business. It cannot be accepted that an individual, solely on the basis that he/she possesses a keyboard and has access to Internet, for whatever personal or political motivations indulges in an injurious PUBLIC campaign with article-series AIMED to the professional defamation of Swedish professors with accusations of scientific misconduct and discrediting the above-mentioned academic procedures or investitures. As I have said before, constructive discussion and criticism of our work is more than welcome. It has always been. But defamation based on false information, character attack and wrongly or biased executed “analysis” is not constructive discussion or criticism, and it is unacceptable. You have to understand that. There are in fact laws in Sweden making authors of such defamations accountable. And as in any Penal Code, the criminal grading of the offense increases with systematic reiteration.
You would be wise to reflect how serious this legal issue is. I have no wish to litigate in court – I am not the type - but in your refusal to change your libellous expressions you might end in giving me no other choice than to file a police report regarding your defamation as evident in this, as well in your previous article, or in your comments in this blog that I have recently seen.
Regarding the new escalation in your insults and your resumption of name-calling here in your blog: I remind you – I should have done so in the first place - that you gave me your word just a couple of days ago that you will cease doing that. In fact, besides the apology you sent to me in a private email, you wrote exactly these terms which you published in your blog the 15 April 2012: “I am sorry if I have offended you . . . FOR THE FUTURE I WILL NOT USE ANY OFFENSIVE EXPRESSIONS”. Don’t you realize that when you gave your word you have made yourself accountable for that in a matter of honour? You should reflect on that seriously. Word of honour is a most important issue in many cultures, including Sweden. For some, it is a personal and cultural ethic more important than the law. There is an old Latin saying from the Romans time that as the bull is worth for its horns so is the man by his word.
Your real position about Julian Assange’s legal defense in disclose
The questions for many
people at this stage are. A) Why is it that you started to harass me and other
people writing FOR the cause of justice of Julian Assange while never
criticizing authors vilifying that cause? B) Why are your attacks coordinated
with exactly similar attacks by an erratic Internet troll using - in public
communication with you - your “draft articles” you have sent to her and other
materials she re-publishes far and wide in the Internet? C) Why are you so
“passionate” in producing libellous writings in the Internet against us, yet
have not said a word about Swedish and other feminists that have put forward
the SAME thesis as Traci and I on these issues of “Muslim” honour killings? D)
Why after the historical interview Julian Assange performed with one known
Muslim leader you reacted by writing a new virulent attack on Assange and the
credibility of his legal defense? E) What does your campaign to discredit
through disinformation have to do with the attempts to discredit by association
the people and causes we support, such as Julian Assange’s defence against the
multiple attacks and survival risks you refer to as only born in our
“conspiracy-minds”? Finally, why do you think the perpetuation of false
information that defames specifically the Muslim immigrant community is
beneficial to the cause of reducing and eliminating violence against women?
As for the very important matter, about legal issues, you should be yourself seriously concerned:
According to the screenshot I received you have made the following statement in your blog “Samtycke.nu” the 17 of April referring concretely to the Muslims in Sweden:
“The truth is that honour killings in the Muslim population is by far over-represented. “ (Göran Rudling).
a) As the full sentence you stated reads, “The truth is that honour killings in the Muslim population is by far over-represented. Not under-represented as you state in your articles.” b) As what I referred in my articles was specifically the under-representation of Muslims in cases of family-related violence with women resulting in a fatal outcome in Sweden:
As for the very important matter, about legal issues, you should be yourself seriously concerned:
According to the screenshot I received you have made the following statement in your blog “Samtycke.nu” the 17 of April referring concretely to the Muslims in Sweden:
“The truth is that honour killings in the Muslim population is by far over-represented. “ (Göran Rudling).
a) As the full sentence you stated reads, “The truth is that honour killings in the Muslim population is by far over-represented. Not under-represented as you state in your articles.” b) As what I referred in my articles was specifically the under-representation of Muslims in cases of family-related violence with women resulting in a fatal outcome in Sweden:
Are you aware that
this is a straightforward racist statement against the Muslim immigrants in
Sweden as a group, and that it constitutes a criminal offense? To accuse
Muslims publicly in the Internet that they are “far over-represented” in a
distinct criminal behaviour without possessing a reliable proof for such an
accusation is what would be criminal in this case, according to the Swedish
law; For you just do not have a scientific published calculation of statistical
significance regarding such purported overrepresentation; neither can you refer
to any such publication done in a scientific journal because that simply does
not exist. In this context your public statement is not only slander; it is
“Hets mot folkgrupp”, [11] which constitutes a criminal offense. You will have
to face the fact you have self-advertised such racist position in your own
blog; and face the fact you will be referring accordingly.
I have taken now time to explain to you and your readers the rationale of the epidemiological aspects taken up in my blog to demonstrate there is no whatsoever ground for your libel. I decided this attending the last email you sent to me. I hope you will receive this for your own best in a positive spirit. People are entitled to actually have different opinions about issues, and different hypotheses or different designs, according to own scientific interests or methodological profiles. But you do not have the right to falsely slander persons just because they do not think like you, or insult ethnic groups just for not being born in the same culture as you.
Sincerely
Marcello Ferrada de Noli, PhD
Professor emeritus of Public Health Sciences especially Epidemiology
[a] Formerly, Head of the Research group International and Cross-cultural Injury Epidemiology at the Karolinska Institute, Department of Social Medicine
I have taken now time to explain to you and your readers the rationale of the epidemiological aspects taken up in my blog to demonstrate there is no whatsoever ground for your libel. I decided this attending the last email you sent to me. I hope you will receive this for your own best in a positive spirit. People are entitled to actually have different opinions about issues, and different hypotheses or different designs, according to own scientific interests or methodological profiles. But you do not have the right to falsely slander persons just because they do not think like you, or insult ethnic groups just for not being born in the same culture as you.
Sincerely
Marcello Ferrada de Noli, PhD
Professor emeritus of Public Health Sciences especially Epidemiology
[a] Formerly, Head of the Research group International and Cross-cultural Injury Epidemiology at the Karolinska Institute, Department of Social Medicine
[b] Medicine doktor i ämnesområdet psykiatri, Karolinska Institutet
Acknowledgments
[c] Traci Birge is a PhD candidate with a solid research background both in the social and natural sciences. Among other merits, she holds peer-reviewed and expert scientific publications. She is also a guest contributor in the Professors blog (see articles-index in column at left). I thank Traci for the English proofread of this material.
REFERENCES / Note
[2] “Basic Statistics: About Incidence, Prevalence, Morbidity, and Mortality - Statistics Teaching Tools” http://www.health.ny.gov/diseases/chronic/basicstat.htm
[3] Rothman K J & Greenland S (1998), Modern Epidemiology. Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, Phil. 2nd ed.
[4] Utvecklingen av dödligt våld mot kvinnor i nära relationer. RAPPORT 2007:6 Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention (Brå)
[5]. Source: Statistics Sweden, Records On Total Population 2001
5. U.S. Department of State (2009), Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor. International Religious Freedom Report 2009, Report on Sweden. http://www.state.gov/j/drl/rls/irf/2009/index.htm
6. Source: Statistics Sweden, Foreign-born population 2011
7. Statistics Sweden, Population (2010) according to background
8. Birge T, Debating a Taboo: Gender, Honour Killings and Fear of “the Other” (2012). In Professors blog http://ferrada-noli.blogspot.it/2012/04/debating-taboo-gender-honour-killings.html
9. Ferrada-Noli M, Dept of Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School (1997). A Cross-Cultural Breakdown of Swedish Suicide. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica, 96 (2): 108-16
10. “Undetermined cases of suicide (UMSA) are those in which it cannot be inferred with a reasonable degree of certainty that the injury ultimately responsible for the person's death was not only intentionally self-inflicted, but also specifically intended to bring about the person’s own demise.” Ferrada-Noli M, Postraumatic stress disorder and suicidal behaviour in immigrants to Sweden, Karolinska Institutet 1996/2003
11. "8 § The one that in speech or any other communication that spreads threatens or expresses contempt for a national, ethnic or other such group with allusion to race, color, national or ethnic origin, religious belief or sexual orientation shall be sentenced for ethnic agitation to imprisonment not exceeding two years or if the crime is petty, to a fine." (Swedish law, Penal Code -- brottsbalken 16 kap. 8 §)
License note: Statistical calculations are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported License. For Attribution form see http://ferrada-noli.blogspot.it/
Acknowledgments
[c] Traci Birge is a PhD candidate with a solid research background both in the social and natural sciences. Among other merits, she holds peer-reviewed and expert scientific publications. She is also a guest contributor in the Professors blog (see articles-index in column at left). I thank Traci for the English proofread of this material.
REFERENCES / Note
[2] “Basic Statistics: About Incidence, Prevalence, Morbidity, and Mortality - Statistics Teaching Tools” http://www.health.ny.gov/diseases/chronic/basicstat.htm
[3] Rothman K J & Greenland S (1998), Modern Epidemiology. Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, Phil. 2nd ed.
[4] Utvecklingen av dödligt våld mot kvinnor i nära relationer. RAPPORT 2007:6 Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention (Brå)
[5]. Source: Statistics Sweden, Records On Total Population 2001
5. U.S. Department of State (2009), Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor. International Religious Freedom Report 2009, Report on Sweden. http://www.state.gov/j/drl/rls/irf/2009/index.htm
6. Source: Statistics Sweden, Foreign-born population 2011
7. Statistics Sweden, Population (2010) according to background
8. Birge T, Debating a Taboo: Gender, Honour Killings and Fear of “the Other” (2012). In Professors blog http://ferrada-noli.blogspot.it/2012/04/debating-taboo-gender-honour-killings.html
9. Ferrada-Noli M, Dept of Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School (1997). A Cross-Cultural Breakdown of Swedish Suicide. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica, 96 (2): 108-16
10. “Undetermined cases of suicide (UMSA) are those in which it cannot be inferred with a reasonable degree of certainty that the injury ultimately responsible for the person's death was not only intentionally self-inflicted, but also specifically intended to bring about the person’s own demise.” Ferrada-Noli M, Postraumatic stress disorder and suicidal behaviour in immigrants to Sweden, Karolinska Institutet 1996/2003
11. "8 § The one that in speech or any other communication that spreads threatens or expresses contempt for a national, ethnic or other such group with allusion to race, color, national or ethnic origin, religious belief or sexual orientation shall be sentenced for ethnic agitation to imprisonment not exceeding two years or if the crime is petty, to a fine." (Swedish law, Penal Code -- brottsbalken 16 kap. 8 §)
License note: Statistical calculations are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported License. For Attribution form see http://ferrada-noli.blogspot.it/
APPENDIX 2
[Texts
from GR's blog]
Göran Rudling on April 15, 2012 at 5:30 pm said:
Dear Marcello Ferrada
de Noli,
Your usage “Muslim”
population in Sweden
- First of all I disagree with your claim that in Sweden the general opinion is that Muslims are regarded as the sole perpetrators of honor-killings and the only ones that embrace an honor-related violence culture. I think the general view in Sweden is that honor-killings are committed by immigrants that originate from countries where honor-killings occur. I do not consider Jenny Westerstrand’s or Eva Lundgren’s opinions in any way important.
- The Swedish Prosecution Authority’s manual; “Honour-related violence”. You claim that the manual slanders Muslims. I cannot find any mentioning of Islam or Muslims in the manual. The manual simple states that the people responsible for honor-killings and honor-related violence originate from countries where honor-killings occur. Statements that actually support my argument in the previous paragraph.
- The size
of the Muslim population in Sweden. You claim that the population is 450
000 people. You base your claim on a report that originates from the US Embassy in Stockholm from 2009. I don’t
think that is accurate.
My estimation of 250 000 is from Leif Stenberg ”Islam in Scandinavia”. See Wikipedia article, - The
relevant number to use in calculations for honor-killings should be the
number of people that originate from countries where honor-killings
occur. I have compiled the number of immigrants, and children born in
Sweden by immigrants, that originate from countries where honor killings
occur. (Afghanistan, Algeria, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Egypt,
India, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Oman,
Pakistan, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, Turkey, UAE and
Yemen).
According to Statistics Sweden (SCB) the total number is 486 028 (31 Dec 2011). I think that you will agree with me that it is likely that 450 000 is a high estimate for the average number of immigrants and children for the period 1986-2010 and the period 1990-2006. - Your connection of Muslims to honor-killings. You are the person that makes a connection between Muslims and honor-killings. In this respect you are no different that the national party, Sverigedemokraterna. I dislike the connection since it is not true. Honor-killings are not connected to a specific religion as you yourself state. Best proof of that honor-killings are not a Muslim thing is the fact that in the country with the largest Muslim population exists, Indonesia, honor-killings are extremely rare (virtually non-existant). In a separate post I will try to explain why that is.
Göran,
I
In the same order of
your items above on my article “Throw them all out”:
1. You say that I have
claimed there: “In Sweden the general opinion is that Muslims are regarded as the
SOLE perpetrators of honor-killings and the ONLY ONES that embrace an
honor-related violence culture”. I have never written or claimed what you
attribute to me. What I wrote instead was:
“The Development
Centre of Gothenburg, an institution of the Swedish Prosecution Authority led
by Chief prosecutor Marianne Ny, states in the public document “Honour-related
violence. Manual” that the explanations for such criminal behaviour – ascribed
in Sweden by the media exclusively to immigrants from the MIDDLE EAST – are to
be found in these two models . . .” In another part I wrote that honour-related
violence in Sweden “is usually attributed mainly to ‘Muslim CULTURE’
individuals”
Besides, from the
perspective of the Swedish law against discrimination, it is equally criminal
to collectively slander religious groups of foreign origin (such as “Muslims”),
as it is to slander ethnic groups of foreign origin (such as “Kurds”, or
“Iraqis”, etc). This is what the law says: “”8 § The one that in speech or any
other communication that spreads, threatens or expresses contempt for a
national, ethnic or other such group with allusion to race, color, national or
ethnic origin, religious belief or sexual orientation shall be sentenced for
ethnic agitation to imprisonment not exceeding two years or, if the crime is
petty, to a fine.” (Swedish law, Penal Code – brottsbalken, 16 kap. 8 §).
2. You say you “cannot
find any mentioning of Islam or Muslims” in the above-mentioned manual of The
Swedish Prosecution Authority.
Again, it can mean
that you have not read carefully: The fact is that “Muslims” are expressly
mentioned in the manual. See for instance Section “What Ethnic Background Do
the Implicated Ones Have?” in page 53. There the manual states that regarding
religious faith only a handful cases are Christian but in some more cases “have
to do with Muslims”. Further, the manual makes reference, directly or
indirectly, to Muslim populations. In the first place, the countries
predominantly mentioned in the manual are known for having Islam as main
religion (and culture). Example of cultural-racial slander in the Manual can be
found in “3.3.5. Honour as economic capital”, text which I also posted in
reference 3 in “Throw them all out”.
3. You say, about the
Muslim population figures I used and that you ascribe the U.S. Embassy: “I do
not think that is accurate”. But you do not give any rationale or fact-argument
at all as to why you “think” is not accurate. Further, it is not consistent
that you refer me to the same Wikipedia source which you have, unsubstantiated,
criticized me of using as “the only source” for my statistical calculations
(accusation which is also groundless; see among the 26 source items in the
Reference section of “Throw them all out”). Göran, you announced you would be
discussing factual “errors” about my article but here you are just telling what
you “prefer” as source. Where are the facts?
4. You say, “The
relevant number to use in calculations for honor-killings should be the number
of people that originate from countries where honor-killings occur.” Well
Göran, that cannot be more equivocal from the perspective of epidemiological
procedures. How could one put together a valid contingency table allocating
such queries? It is really beyond comment. But provided you really believe so,
why don’t you assay that “significance calculation” yourself and publish it? In
any case that is your problem to solve, not mine. My inquiry was to estimate
the period prevalence of the MUSLIM honour killings in SWEDEN. I have already told
you that if you wish to comment on my article “I invite you to reread my text,
keeping in mind that I HAVE ADDRESSED A DIFFERENT QUESTION than what you have
put forth in your criticism here.”
5. You say that I
would be “the person that makes a connection between Muslims and
honor-killings” Wrong Göran, I just studied the prevalence of honour killings
among the Muslims in Sweden. As regarding the political implication of it you
are way far wrong, it is exactly the opposite of what you present. I am the one
who is reacting against the cultural-racist notion that Muslims are
“culture-bound” prone not only to “honour” kill members of their family but
also that those killings are highly represented in Sweden. I have demonstrated
that this is a fabrication and that, in fact, Muslims are underrepresented
(statistically significant result: (X2= 10.095, d.f.= 1, p= 0.0015) in the
cases of family-related violence with women resulting in a fatal outcome in
Sweden. That is all I say in terms of significant findings.
II
Secondly, about your
pointing out that “0.1 of 10 000 is not 0,0001 percent. . .It is 0,001
percent”. That was a misspelling error – or “just an error of carelessness” as
you called it in your email – which does not affect at all the relationships of
statistical significance between the variables analysed. After I checked my
notes I conclude it was not a calculation error (as the main per 10 000 rate
was written correctly = 0.1) but a misspelling of the equivalent percentage in
the text at the post. I have of course corrected that in my text (“Throw them
all out”, Section III) and I thank you for that mention.
Finally, as I told you
before, putting together a couple of separately published independent twitters
– of 140 characters each including the link to my article – will never make a
“research conclusion” text. First I would have to write that Conclusion
section, before to have it commented.
On the rest of your
points in your texts above, and also in your email, although some of them are
interesting views, they are not applicable to what I have actually put forward
in my article. Some views, which you present as debating items with me, are in
fact issues with which I agree and even have already stated in my own texts.
Your views I commented
above, added to your personal opinions or characterizations ad hominem you have
published, are not relevant to the statistical finding in my series that
Muslims are underrepresented in the cases of family-related violence with women
resulting in a fatal outcome in Sweden. That is a fact, and its statistical
significance established.
Disappointedly,
further dialogue is NOT possible, for the reasons I explain here below.
III
I wish now to clarify
to you a very important issue.
In my previous comment
I wrote to you (I capitalize instead of underline), which I thought it was
clear enough:
“Of course we are
entitled in Sweden to have any opinions we like — provided the opinions ad
hominem we publish WOULD NOT FALL UNDER THE “ÄREKRÄNKNING” PARAGRAPH (slander).
Some of your expressions do not suit a gentlemanly or legal-scholar fashion one
could expect from your otherwise valuable contributions. Perhaps YOU SHOULD
RECONSIDER THE PUBLICATION of such offensive personal expressions. That is one of
the advantages we bloggers have; WE CAN DECIDE what to publish but also, as I
announced above, TO CORRECT OUR TEXTS IF NECESSARY.” And “PROVIDED THAT
academic regard, I am happy to publish and respond to criticism of my texts on
my blog and will correct any mistakes that are found if the mistake and
correction are specified clearly.”
You answered 15 April
2012 via my private email and wrote:
“I am very sorry if I
have offended you with the un-gentlemanly expressions. Please accept my
apology.”
I wrote back to you
and accepted your apology but also, as I concomitantly wrote, that I expect you
to replace those offensive terms: “I sincerely hope you will find the
opportunity of replacing such expressions you published in your Swedish and
English materials in accordance to the spirit of our dialogue”
As I see it now, on
the one hand you have in words extended an apology for the offensive
expressions used against me in your blog articles; but on the other, in real
terms, you persist in keeping those very same offenses published in your
materials.
Seriously, that you
first ask for an apology for publishing in the Internet injurious expressions,
and then – by not changing any of such published offensive expressions or
printing a retraction of your slander – you in reality persist in the same
behaviour for which you are asking an apology; that is “incomprehensible”.
I will have no further
comments until you honour your apology with facts, including retractions and
corrections of your defamatory expressions.
There are further such
materials made public in your name earlier on the Internet by another
individual. In the opinion of my legal advisers, such expressions, as well as
those referred before, also constitute clearly slander, libel and character
defamation or Ärekränkning, according to the Swedish Criminal Code, 5 kap. 1 §
Brottsbalken).
Lastly, you even added
to your apology in the said email of 15 April: “My hope was that I could create
some kind of reaction.” Göran, even small children are taught that to made up
things and name-calling for the purpose of “being provocative” to “getting
someone’s attention” or the “public’s attention” is unacceptable behaviour.
Something in me says
that you would understand me in this, and would agree that a dialogue under
such terms is unacceptable.
I wish you well
Sincerely
–
–
Prof. Marcello Ferrada
de Noli PhD
Med. dr. i psykiatri. Professor em. folkhälsovetenskap/epidemiologi
fdenoli@gmail.com
Med. dr. i psykiatri. Professor em. folkhälsovetenskap/epidemiologi
fdenoli@gmail.com
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